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Ulysses may be the fly in the ointment. This horse is beautifully bred, being by Galileo out of Light Shift and as such has been the subject of plenty of hype. He returned to action at Sandown at the end of April where he won the Gordon Richards Stakes, beating Deauville and there should be significant improvement to come after his first run since early November. Are there any juveniles on your radar that we should be looking out for next week?
He has Happy Like A Fool in the Queen Mary and having won the race for the past two seasons with Acapulco and Miss Aurelia and also back in with Jealous Again, then this filly will be incredibly popular. This filly looks fast. Jessica Harrington is equally brilliant at handling a three-mile chaser as she is a smart juvenile and I hope Brother Bear wins the Coventry for her.
He won on debut at Leopardstown on good to firm ground and then followed that up with a soft ground win in a listed race at the Curragh last time out. William Haggas is always a trainer to follow in big handicaps and this horse is unexposed having only run five times in his life. He was tried in Group Two and Three company before being gelded and showed promise to finish third in a big York handicap over a mile on his seasonal reappearance last month.
He showed a good turn of foot to win at Chester over seven and a half furlongs last time out having been slowly away and had to come from last to first. He showed his liking for Ascot the time before that when winning the Victoria Cup over seven furlongs.
She then ran a cracking race to finish third in the Guineas, but was overhauled by Rhododendron in the closing stages. Horse Racing. Tips Centre. Fast Results. Full Results. My Stable. Royal Ascot: Alex Hammond's tips and betting advice in her latest blog. Rathvinden may well hate the ground while to my eye, Jury Duty and Mossback have disappointed with their finishing efforts on bad going.
The mare looks to have an outstanding chance. She has a real touch of class, is a fantastic jumper and will have no problem on the ground. The 7lb she gets over this trip is a lot of weight, and while you can never be sure of a horse staying this distance on this type of ground, she may well excel for it. Ballyhill looks well-handicapped on his run behind North Hill Harvey earlier in the campaign where he looked to love jumping.
Having lead his field for most of the contest, he was 15 lengths clear coming to the second last. He looked brilliant. Having jumped the remaining two fences, the son of Scorpion then veered sharply to his right, put the brakes on and started to idle badly. Moments later he was a half-length down on Whisper, but somehow managed to rally and claw back victory. To do as such, meant there was a fair bit of petrol left in the tank. It was an amazing performance.
From here, Aintree was next, where a more straight-forward win saw him beat Whisper readily. The form of the King George is a little tough to weigh up, and differing opinions can easily be made and well respected. My gut feeling immediately after the race, with Bristol De Mai, Fox Norton and Whisper running well below par, was it was form to be weary of.
That may well still be the case going forward as the race has yet to be truly tested. It was now Sizing John 8 -vs-7 Douvan. It was just pure class that won him the race. Travelling strongly, jumping economically and quickening were the hallmarks of his near 3 lengths victory. He showed he could battle when going on to win at Punchestown five weeks later before being put away for the current campaign.
Eighteen days later he would flop badly at Christmas however, trailing in 32 lengths behind Road To Respect in the Grade 1 Leopardstown Christmas Chase. That Punchestown race had clearly taken plenty out of him. Not too long after the Christmas disappointment, Jessica Harrington said her stable star would go straight to the Gold Cup after being freshened up.
Given how lacklustre he was over the Festive period, this approach could well pay dividends and be a priceless piece of management. While Sizing John has run twice, this eight-year-old has only had the one start. He was unlucky not finish second in the Gold Cup last year, just being chinned late having made much of the running at a decent pace.
He was no match for Sizing John in the renewal, but there is every chance he can get closer and maybe even reverse the form. The son of Indian River took a big step to achieving that when winning the Grade 2 Denman Chase for the second successive season on his seasonal debut. OK, he beat a non-stayer in Cloudy Dream and a nowhere near fit Saphir Du Rhea back in third, but it was done by 12 and 24 lengths, respectively.
In the interim, he has defeated such names as Yorkhill where he was clearly a fortunate winner , Sub Lieutenant, Minella Rocco, Zabana and also revenged his defeat over Outlander, when winning the Grade 1 Leopardstown Christmas Chase. Returning to a left-handed track and getting on some nicer ground saw him produce a career best at Christmas when beating my Ryanair fancy Balko Des Flos and Leopardstown lover Outlander, wearing a first-time hood.
The Gigginstown House Stud-owned gelding has had a modern-day Gold Cup preparation which will see him come to Cheltenham fresh. Amazingly, well, for me anyway. He was a Grade 1-winning novice chaser last season, his victory in the Neville Hotels Novice Chase looking decent form now. So too is his second to the classy but fragile Disko in the Grade 1 Flogas Novice Chase over an inadequate trip, but the highlight was obviously his 14 lengths destruction job of the Irish Grand National field.
That was a huge display, so good, he would finish the campaign officially rated a pound less than his stablemate and Gold Cup winner, Sizing John, as a novice. Some feat! This campaign started in disaster however, when he was well-beaten behind Outlander and Road To Respect at Down Royal; a poor post-race scope and therefore illness to blame. Surgery on his back would follow before he made a highly-encouraging and belated return to the fray in the Irish Gold Cup at Leopardstown, where a bad peck two out cost him dearly.
At the time, it looked like he was getting slightly outpaced, but whatever your opinion on that, he certainly shaped better than the 16 lengths beaten. This came on his favoured soft ground officially heavy , and giving the current RSA favourite 7lb and a beating is no mean feat on paper. It at least sees him firmly back on the right path.
First and foremost, that looks an extremely skinny price, for several reasons. So much of his form has come on proper soft ground, I worry will he be taken out of his comfort zone on a faster surface? He also looks short on class in a competitive Gold Cup. Having been held-up in the race, he possibly ran on past beaten horses and was ultimately flattered. The fact he struggles for consistency is another concern.
The former is a top-class horse on his day, despite lacking the desired victories on his CV. Maybe this was down to the lacklustre gallop in which he set.? He has looked a different horse this season — his two wins at Thurles and Tramore coming in great style.
While the case, this would be a significant step up in class over an unknown trip. He may improve again for better ground, but this contest could come as a shock to the system compared to the slowly-run Grade 1 he won last time out. There is even an argument that his King George effort could be marked up given how wide he was for the near entire duration of the race. There is also a chance he is flattered to get as close to Might Bite, but the price discrepancy is too big given 1 length separated them at the line.
He was also closer to the good gallop than most. On this run alone, he looks criminally overpriced. A superbly competitive Gold Cup to look forward to this year, should all the main protagonists make March 16 th. So many horses are coming into the race fresh which potentially reinforces competition. A fresh field of horses has the potential to see many run their races. This is especially the case of those to the fore in the betting.
In any race, the ground will prove vital, and this Gold Cup is no different. His tough prep on heavy ground also makes him stand out negatively from the aforementioned fresh crowd. At the same time, while against him on a quick surface, a soft ground running would make him and Native River the ones to beat, on form. Hardly a bold statement! The better the ground, the better his chance — that old throwaway line applies to him. Oddly enough, both also wear hoods while racing. Hopefully the Nicholls team go out and ride him like he can win, and just creep their way round down the inner.
Both are bold shouts, I appreciate that, but my line of thinking is this; I can back maybe two horses to the front of the betting at fairish prices to win OR I can take a bolder each-way value approach on horses with top-class efforts in the hope of one hitting the frame and getting a similar return. As you can imagine given the course and distance, stamina and class are the two most sought-after assets.
His absence will be missed in what is an open year for staying hurdlers. He was in a better tactical position than most in winning here in , but subsequent form has brought him out of handicap company into Grade 1 races, leaving no doubt to him being flattered in his Festival success. Since March of last year, the son of Galileo has only raced four times, all coming in top-level races. Next time out, he surprisingly dropped to 2m in the Irish Champion Hurdle.
Here, he would beat Faugheen, outstaying him late to be a ready winner. Said campaign has been hit and miss, hence the reason connections have correctly chosen to revert to hurdling. At times he could be brilliant, but he could also be unconvincing — there was just no rhythm or consistency. While the case, whether he is fully at his best over this 3m trip remains to be seen.
Some going in three races! This victory solidified his rise to the top, and while he got the run of the race under Joe Colliver, there was absolutely no fluke about it; he went a nice gallop and maintained it late. Whether or not he is value for his new lofty rating of , remains to be seen.
That puts him right in the mix, in terms of ability, with all those ahead of him in the betting. He was well-beaten there, but that was at the end of a long campaign and is probably not an accurate guide to his endurance limitations. There was maybe a slight suspicion of him picking up the pieces late, but given he travelled much wider than the runner-up Monalee and the third Wholestone throughout, to win like he did, was striking. The former is a talented, but highly quirky horse who needs holding up and delivering late.
Hitting number 1 is probably out of his reach this season, but he does look to have strong each-way claims. He shaped better than the distance beaten of 7 lengths suggests. In his Festival prep in the Cleeve Hurdle over this course and distance, it was very much a similar story.
Again, like in the Albert Bartlett, he travelled with great enthusiasm and looked set to go close, but he faltered late. Elsewhere down the entries, not many really convince for varying reasons. As a seven-year-old, he still has age on his side, so his performances this season have dumbfounded me.
He appears to be a stone below his best, for whatever reason. She could well run a career best and finish sixth. This is also true of Yanworth. Softer going brings Sam Spinner into it even further, and should Cheltenham produce taxing conditions, it significantly enhances his chance.
That trio, depending on conditions, will hardly contract much further in the betting, should the main protagonists make it to Prestbury Park healthy. Since its inception back in , the contest has only grown stronger and stronger. On paper, the renewal looks extremely competitive. Given the brisk fractions he set in the early and middle parts of the race, it was natural for him to tie-up a touch close home, but he never looked remotely like getting beaten, his speculator jumping applying further pressure on his rivals.
He was just touched off in the Champion Chase before he went on to Aintree and Punchestown to win Grade 1s. The son of Lando was then asked to back up 17 days later in the King George at Kempton — a race I stupidly backed him in — but this run clearly came too soon after Sandown and he was pulled up. There is more to come, but it would be nice to see it on the track. More positively, the step back up in trip here will be a big plus for him.
There is no doubt he can win the Ryanair, but connections must get him back in good order. His next run saw Grade 2 success in the Christy Chase at Ascot in beating Double Shuffle and Frodon by 8 and 10 lengths, respectively, now looks like top-class form with the former finishing second in the King George and the latter bolting up off in a competitive Cheltenham handicap.
He oozed class at Ascot and simply had too many gears for horses now rated officially rated and Three weeks later he added the Peterborough Chase to his CV although he was workmanlike in doing so. A quick turnaround from a big Ascot effort and slower ground may have been to blame, but even so, his Ascot run marks him down as a bold player for this contest. At the current stage of entries, Willie Mullins has a strong hand. The seven-year-old has raced twice this campaign and won both starts in great style, at Thurles and Tramore.
I really get the feeing there is more to come, but whether he can replicate those efforts on faster ground in more competitive races remains to be seen. Killultagh Vic looks to have maintained a fair amount of his ability despite the serious nature of his past injuries. See what I did there? Ok, I understand Willie Mullins has the race-favourite, but given the number of quality animals in his care, Mullins will simply have to run two of his big names against each other, should they all get to Cheltenham in good order.
All the above was written before Yorkhill flopped at the Dublin Racing Festival. Having taken a big drift in the market before they jumped off, he ran accordingly. The usual hold he gives his rider never really materialised, and in truth, he just looked flat.
This does curb the enthusiasm I had. Formerly trained by Malcom Jefferson, who sadly passed away a couple of weeks ago, this seven-year-old son of Flemensfirth just looks a quality, young chaser heading firmly in the right direction. He had some smart novice form last season, beating the likes of Forest Bhian and Politologue, but his latest 8 lengths success in a Kempton novice chase looks a career best in every sense of the word. In form, in style and on the clock, he is getting better.
The problem where Cheltenham lay, is Waiting Patiently needs to improve further. To be fair, I think that is certainly on the cards. He appeared to handle decent conditions comfortably at Kempton last time out, but that came against inferior opposition. There is a good chance of much faster sod come March in unison with him taking on genuine top-class opponents. Trained by the underrated Eddie Harty and owned by JP McManus, this seven-year-old had some top-class novice form last season behind the likes Our Duke.
Coney Island would miss the Cheltenham Festival through injury and only made his belated return to action in December at Ascot in winning a conditions race by 9 lengths, hard held. Maybe Henry de Bromhead gave his inmate a good rest after his summer exploits, and was slowly working him back to full fitness? Proper soft Irish ground is probably also a negative for him now, but back on a firmer surface last time out in the Leopardstown Christmas Chase, the seven-year-old son of Balko bounced back to form and produced a career best.
He was fortunate in that he had plenty of space to be accurate at his fences, but he was deadly, and coming to two out, he had plenty of the field cooked. He was just outstayed late by a better horse on the day in Cheltenham Gold Cup contender Road To Respect, but the drop back in trip accompanied with a good gallop, could see him being the ideal Ryanair horse.
Frodon too, must get a positive mention on the back of his progressive, high-class handicap form which looks extremely solid. His latest success in the Crest Nicholson Handicap Chase at Cheltenham was impressive, the 17 lengths he won by telling that story. That did come on heavy ground however, and the handicapper has surely overreacted with his new rating of The question is, can he produce a similar performance against top-class horses on much faster ground? I have my doubts. Last time out in the John Durkan, on ground that was surely way too soft to show him at his best, he took a significant step in the right direction.
At this stage, the renewal of the Ryanair looks as exciting a race as we could have all season, and on the biggest stage. That form is phenomenal. At the prices, given his poor preparation, Fox Norton is easily avoided. At the start of the season, I thought he was the winner of this contest, but after a good opening pair of efforts to the campaign, his form tailed off and his training has been interrupted.
Coney Island and Waiting Patiently could clash at Ascot this weekend, and that will tell us plenty. Neither have Cheltenham Festival experience either, so it makes sense to duck them now. A quick final mention must go to Douvan and Min. The former, the young pretender with an air of Sprinter Sacre about him; the latter, the unofficial king of the division on the comeback trail from injury.
Altior was found to have a wind issue and was subsequently operated on. Nicky Henderson has always said there is a sound chance of Altior making it back for Cheltenham, and he may run in the Game Spirit at Newbury in February. With still so much up in the air concerning that pair, focus should be put on those horses fit and well.
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Here, he travelled beautifully, quickened up like a smart horse and won the race with authority. At the prices, with some useful form this season over further, and stamina assured, AEOLUS may just be able to sneak into the places from what looks a decent low draw which sees him surrounded by early speed. He travels sweetly and finds plenty off the bridle and as he showed last time out in winning the Irish Guineas, soft ground holds no fears for him. National Hunt trainers have a fine recent record in this contest and I see no reason to desert them today.
A former flat-racer in France, since joining the Mullins team he has been quietly progressive. Hopefully he can run well. Next time out she was stepped up in trip at Naas where the daughter of Choisir travelled really well, but probably just failed to see out the race, finishing second. The legendary Italian jockey was forced to admit defeat on an arm injury and pull out of the entire week of racing, leaving a gaping hole on a number of racecards.
A winner at the meeting last year in the Jersey Stakes, he went on to prove himself as one of the best milers in Europe when successful in the Prix Jacques le Marois. His best effort might have been when narrowly failing to reel in Minding in the QEII but he has returned this year better than ever.
Richard Fahey sent him to Dubai but he just failed to see out nine furlongs in the Dubai Turf, beaten a length by the Japanese horse Vivlos. In the Lockinge at Newbury though, Ribchester quite simply looked in a different league to his rivals. Even though his pacemaker Toscanini missed the kick and could not get to the front, he dictated matters under William Buick winning by nearly four lengths. This is likely to be the fastest going he has run on but he will get the ground in the best possible shape and can enhance his reputation.
The form of his maiden could not have worked out any better. The second, sixth, seventh and even the 13th horse home have since won, with several others going close. His victory did come on soft ground but being by Kodiac the quicker surface should not be any problem. This time last year it looked like connections had no more than a decent sprinter on their hands when she won a Listed race at Ayr but her progression has gone through the roof.
It was her return to France for the Prix de l'Abbaye which marked her down as top class, though, when she left several of these rivals trailing in her wake. Those who thought there may have been a bit of a fluke in that were put back in their box when she defied a massive penalty to win the Palace House on her return this season.
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