His putting. It seems like he really found the flat stick last week. I really like Xander this week. He could flip it on at any time. The current form is great, and we have seen four tops here from him in the past. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood. TPC Scottsdale demands a golfer who can nail their approaches, and few can fire darts like Simpson.
Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. Now he returns to Scottsdale with great history T-9, T, T-7 three of the past four years , and he gained 7. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest assistant editor : Sungjae Im — I was waffling on Sungjae, but when the course guru above me mentioned the greens are Bermuda this week, Im was an auto-bet.
He is the Bermuda king, and while his history at WMPO is limited, he did finish seventh here in He has gained on approach and putting in back-to-back weeks, the two most important areas when it comes to winning at TPC Scottsdale. If not for a crap Saturday at AMEX, he would have been right there at the end, and at Torrey, he was a few off the lead on Sunday before he imploded on the back nine.
Plus, Teddy Greenstein of PointsBet joined us to talk about the new second-screen gambling show that debuts this week. Click the above link to listen—and subscribe wherever you get your podcasts click here! Results from last season: Golf Digest's betting panel predicted 14 winners correctly last season, and collectively on outright winners, top bets and matchups won and lost, our panel went up Our anonymous tour caddie nailed Viktor Hovland to finish strong.
Be sure to check this column every week for picks from the hottest betting panel in golf! You just need to be keeping it in play off the tee, and sticking your approaches tight. And I expect him to flash again this weekend. The biggest reason I like this: The lack of grandstands around the course this year will open up different, more aggressive angles off the tee. And I can think of no one better to take advantage. I might have to take a flier on a Bubba first-round leader, too.
Gdula: Bubba Watson — I love Bubba again this week. We know that Bubba can be a top-five ball-striker in any field, and of course, he is great at TPC Scottsdale. Datagolf shows course history is more important here than almost any other course on tour. Bubba seems primed for a bounceback after struggling last week. Yet he is priced with the 59th shortest odds. He certainly limped to the finish line in , missing his final two cuts of the year. But he has bounced back and has been better than average at both the Sentry Tournament of Champions and the Sony Open.
I also will take a shot on Henrik Norlander. Norlander is one of the best in this field on approach fifth over the past 50 rounds, per Fantasy National. And he ranks first in par-4 scoring in the all-important range of yards six of the 11 par 4s this week fall into that range, with a few just shy of that. At these odds, the value is simply too good to pass up for a four-time major champ who is healthy and still very much in his prime.
Alldrick, FanShare Sports: Chris Kirk — Kirk is just two events removed from a second-place finish, signaling a possible return to when he was his best. Kirk has an 11th-place finish to his name at TPC Scottsdale, too. But we just saw him WD with an injury. While his tee-to-green game is about as strong as ever, his putting is actually trending down long-term—if you can believe that. With so many elite golfers at the top, he needs an outlier performance tee to green and to stop missing so many putts.
He was victorious in and has three other top finishes at this event. Per the RickRunGood. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to. Caddie : Jon Rahm over Justin Thomas bet — Rahm put aside those injury questions with a great performance at Torrey. His putter seemed to let him down—gaining less than a stroke on the field in putting for the week. Rahm loves this course, too, so I do really like this. Kirk has been good as well, but his driver can take him out of an event like this, and his Gdula : Talor Gooch over Dylan Frittelli FanDuel — Gooch has an edge in all the key stats for me this week: distance, off-the-tee, approach and putting—and the biggest differences are with the irons and putter.
Outside of a missed cut in Abu Dhabi two weeks ago, Thomas had rattled off seven consecutive top finishes. TPC Scottsdale has been friendly to great ball-strikers in the past, and nobody in the world hits their irons like Thomas. Bubba has six tops here in his career. This is a smash spot in my opinion.
Then, he drove it like garbage the rest of the week and wound up finishing 48th. Burns is clicking in just about every area right now, particularly off the tee. Burns on the other hand does well around here and statistically gains a shot per round on Kim on Bermuda greens. Matchup Results this season: Alldrick: 12 for 16 up 6. Conners is surely a tee-to-green stud, ranking in the 94th percentile among this field since the start of when adjusted for field strength.
A slight uptick there puts him in play for a top He looks like the Bubba of old, gaining strokes off the tee in 10 consecutive measured events and gaining on approach in six of his past seven starts. Dating back to the restart in June, Reavie has only lost strokes on approach in three starts—and he can get insanely hot with the irons, like he did at the Safeway in September third-place finish, gaining 7.
Jude sixth-place, 7. His putting on Bermuda is another big reason why he ranks so high in our CSR. Everyone else: 0 for 1. Bet now! Henley took last week off following a missed cut at The American Express in California. He previously tied for 11th at the Sony Open. The 24th-ranked golfer in the Golfweek rankings played some of his best golf late last summer into the fall.
Four of his six top finishes in came between mid-August and late October. The three-time PGA Tour winner missed the cut in four of the last seven runnings of this event, but he also has finishes of T and T mixed in. He has averaged 0. Frittelli is 96th in the Golfweek rankings following a T finish last week. He played this event for the first time last year and finished just T with 1. The courses grade similarly with an emphasis on driving accuracy.
Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook. Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. Below, we look at the fantasy golf power rankings and odds for the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Odds last updated Below, we'll look for the best value bets in the Waste Management Phoenix Open odds, with tournament matchups, placings and other PGA Tour prop bet predictions.
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Matsuyama, who won here in and , shares just the sixth-best odds this week. At No. He has been undone by 0. A return to a venue where he has had considerable success on the greens presents a get-right spot. Matsuyama leads those in the field with a minimum of five rounds played at TPC Scottsdale with 2. He tied for 16th here last year with 1.
He lost 0. Risk-free first bet! Terms and conditions apply. Bet now! Henley took last week off following a missed cut at The American Express in California. He previously tied for 11th at the Sony Open. The 24th-ranked golfer in the Golfweek rankings played some of his best golf late last summer into the fall.
Four of his six top finishes in came between mid-August and late October. The three-time PGA Tour winner missed the cut in four of the last seven runnings of this event, but he also has finishes of T and T mixed in. He has averaged 0. Frittelli is 96th in the Golfweek rankings following a T finish last week.
He played this event for the first time last year and finished just T with 1. The courses grade similarly with an emphasis on driving accuracy. Follow Esten McLaren on Twitter. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter and like us on Facebook. Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage.
However, Thomas has failed to crack the top in four of his last six starts at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Thomas' inconsistent performances at TPC Scottsdale can be directly attributed to his inability to find the fairway off the tee. The year-old enters this week's event ranked st in driving accuracy percentage He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the Phoenix Open field.
Another surprise: Hideki Matsuyama, a long shot, makes a strong run at the title. Matsuyama has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Matsuyama hasn't won since , but he's had six top-three finishes in the last two seasons and is currently No. Matsuyama has absolutely dominated TPC Scottsdale throughout his career, winning the and Waste Management Phoenix Opens and finishing tth or better in six of the seven times he's played the event he withdrew in with a wrist injury.
The relatively simple greens complexes at TPC Scottsdale allow his incredible tee-to-green game to shine, as Matsuyama has ranked top 10 in strokes gained tee-to-green in every season but one since Also, the model is targeting four other golfers with odds of or higher to make a strong run at the title.
Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here. So who wins the Waste Management Phoenix Open ? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Feb 4, at am ET 4 min read.
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